With longer holding periods, timing risk fades; after 15 years even the worst start was still positive.

MSCI World Return Envelope

The chart compresses every rolling holding period into three lines: the best annualized outcome, the worst, and the average. The spread narrows as the holding period extends and short-term noise fades.

Up to 53 yearsStart year 19731Y avg +8.4%10Y avg +7.5%